Lies cannot be reasoned with. No matter how much logic you apply, a lie will just expand to fill all available space. No, in order to combat a lie, you must not reason with it; you must expose it. This is exceedingly difficult for lies about future intent.
Gathering sufficient evidence to expose the lie in this case generally involves something akin to revelation, inspiration, clairvoyance, a sixth-sense. And convincing others that you have the truth about the lie is even more involved.
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